Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 16.997589 19.314865 21.929025 25.115899 28.922182 33.355365 38.957677
2025-08-31 13.589506 16.417427 19.875074 24.477603 30.541864 38.402715 49.608008
2025-09-07 11.755464 14.783221 18.689018 24.212131 32.016393 42.966774 60.103533
2025-09-14 10.153438 13.142921 17.152834 23.084450 31.925949 45.129609 67.427799
2025-09-21 8.894823 11.778880 15.769263 21.891026 31.427229 46.438323 73.526704
2025-09-28 8.042361 10.870017 14.893720 21.276646 31.637836 48.788007 81.816255
2025-10-05 8.197567 11.397914 16.133961 24.012659 37.589063 61.804677 113.350236
2025-10-12 7.884228 11.191572 16.229548 24.915112 40.583671 70.226331 138.712599
2025-10-19 7.262583 10.455286 15.415804 24.182029 40.514545 72.748799 151.878729
2025-10-26 7.022556 10.288695 15.490771 24.977013 43.400675 81.839932 184.268099
2025-11-02 6.597333 9.790036 14.968407 24.633651 44.000589 86.167234 206.053682
2025-11-09 6.200292 9.306413 14.427124 24.188087 44.314533 89.908801 227.826789
2025-11-16 5.857583 8.903528 14.016679 23.995838 45.250832 95.657366 259.759274
2025-11-23 5.479059 8.415137 13.418220 23.376876 45.178249 98.956870 285.798653
2025-11-30 5.192981 8.062876 13.030695 23.127692 45.891217 104.503031 323.517713
2025-12-07 4.818767 7.534120 12.282200 22.063912 44.544633 104.098225 337.930419
2025-12-14 4.467795 7.026019 11.537299 20.937270 42.894749 102.493544 346.817851
2025-12-21 4.217470 6.681248 11.072821 20.356885 42.501656 104.538613 373.836725
2025-12-28 4.378167 7.077010 12.032053 22.939528 50.545242 135.319440 573.376607
2026-01-04 4.315770 7.062444 12.197788 23.790309 54.254606 153.600027 732.994710
2026-01-11 4.089793 6.731832 11.714518 23.099240 53.569151 155.928759 791.143183
2026-01-18 4.028953 6.706269 11.840273 23.848647 57.158143 175.879773 1013.677314
2026-01-25 3.864955 6.475862 11.532122 23.525020 57.517459 183.164393 1146.040605